science today, junk tomorrow

One of the most annoying aspects of the political process today is the extreme leverage an unelected few are able to exert when they do so in the name of “science.” Especially environmental “science.” The drowned polar bears are a perfect example.

Polar bears drowning in an Alaskan sea because the ice packs are melting—it’s the iconic image of the global warming debate.

But the validity of the science behind the image—presented as an ignoble testament to our environment in peril by Al Gore in his film An Inconvenient Truth—is now part of a federal investigation that has the environmental community on edge.

Special agents from the Interior Department’s inspector general’s office are questioning the two government scientists about the paper they wrote on drowned polar bears, suggesting mistakes were made in the math and as to how the bears actually died, and the department is eyeing another study currently underway on bear populations.

It’s looking like another example of bad science, but what’s worse than bad science is when trillions are wasted in reliance on it:

Myron Ebell?, director of energy and global warming policy at the Competitive Enterprise Institute, said that the government is expected to “spend trillions of dollars to save the world from global warming on the basis of what a few scientists say.”

“There needs to be due diligence, and we need to challenge and investigate every single claim.  The public expects that,” Ebell said.  “But we find over and over that shoddy science has been put forward, and in some cases, dishonest and manipulated science, and they say, ‘Trust us,’ ” Ebell said.

“It’s extremely irresponsible.”

At the rate things are going, people are not going to trust scientists.  But you’d think that when trillion dollar decisions are being made based on their claims, even if they are going to be trusted, whatever happened to “TRUST BUT VERIFY”? There ought to be some form of independent review before science is allowed to dictate public policy.

Ditto, light bulb science.

CFL bulbs offer better lighting for less energy fallacy

CFL bulbs do use less electricity to produce the same amount of light that incandescent bulbs produce.  This is certainly an admirable quality of CFL bulbs.  However, the argument that the upfront expense (roughly 8-10 times that of a standard incandescent) will supposedly be paid for by the longer life span of a CFL bulb is specious at best.   The truth of the matter is that if CFL bulbs simply replace the light bulbs we use on a daily basis, then they will be switched on and off repeatedly, the very same way we use the incandescent bulbs the CFLs were designed to replace.  However, when CFL bulbs are switched on and off, like incandescent bulbs, their life span is reduced by nearly 85%!!! To put it another way, a CFL bulb’s actual life span under real world conditions would be nearly identical to incandescent bulbs — yet they will cost consumers 8 to 10 times as much as a standard incandescent bulb!  With no advantage due to longevity, the CFL bulb’s only advantage is lower electric current usage; but less electricity usage is essentially irrelevant to a consumer who is being charged 8 to 10 times the replacement cost of an incandescent bulb up front!   There is simply no way that a CFL bulb will cost consumers less money than an incandescent bulb, even factoring in less electrical usage.

But CFL bulbs are “good” for the environment, insist the environmentalists.  They will still use less electricity.  So what if the consumer, the American public, has to spend 8 to 10 times more than they normally would for a light bulb?  CFL bulbs, say the environmentalists, will help reduce pollution because less electricity will need to be generated, thereby reducing the overall “carbon footprint” of each household.

This is the irony we now find ourselves in.  Under the Guise of Safety, we are being duped!   We are being forced to rid our households and businesses of safe, incandescent bulbs made in America with three major brands of CFL bulbs, all of which are made in Chinese factories, and all of which are filled with mercury which silently waits to permanently contaminate our environment…. and all of this in the name of environmental cleanliness and safety!

But give the scientific experts time and maybe they’ll discover that the expensive mercury light bulbs are worse for the environment than what was there before.  Then new laws can be passed making CFLs illegal, just as the gasoline additive MTBE was first required in California, and then banned.The history of MTBE is a farce of regulations and counter-regulations, all supported by science, of course.

Reminds me of future food science.

 


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8 responses to “science today, junk tomorrow”

  1. LYNNDH Avatar
    LYNNDH

    I went CFL two yrs ago and can tell no difference in my electricty usage. NONE.

  2. lin Avatar

    Placing the adjective environmental before the term science indicates that it is actually not science. That propaganda is filled with wildly speculative assumptions, question begging, and little factually accurate and empirically valid information. The people who are involved are hold doctorate degrees, yet they grovel for government handouts in the same manner as the illiterates who are sniveling for environmental justice. Tacky!

  3. Simon Avatar
    Simon

    I like the CFLs (a rare sentiment to be sure). Other than a few duds we are getting good life out of them. I think a lot of it has to do with line voltage.

    My line voltage runs from about 119 volts to about 122 volts. This is important because the current the bulbs draw depends on the voltage. The lower the voltage the greater the current. It is current that wears out the electronics in a bulb. Why? The heat generated goes up with the square of the current. And that equals more heat. And heat is the real killer. And note: because heat raises the resistance of the semiconductors the heat generated actually goes up faster than the square of the current. Very bad.

    I haven’t done any studies but I think it likely that the short life reported by some is likely due to low line voltage.

    Incandescents are worse in some ways. Their light output varies as the tenth power (or some such) of line voltage.

    In any case the Gment ought to butt out.

  4. Simon Avatar
    Simon

    One thing I like about the CFLs in my environment is that we do not have to be shuffling bulbs near as often as we used to.

  5. Simon Avatar
    Simon

    And another point. The CFLs draw a very large spike of current when they turn on. Incandescents are much worse in that regard.

    You can mitigate that to some extent by using “long life” filament bulbs. But the light output will be significantly less.

  6. Bobnormal Avatar

    I bought a bunch of CFLs from the 99c store a while back, I use some for growing things (works well) and for my front/ back porch. they last a long time, why? I NEVER turn them off, they are so cheap to run I just let em run! Take that AGW heads! I wouldn’t do that to an incan light they would burn out, HEH

  7. Veeshir Avatar

    Green science is neither.

  8. Chris Avatar
    Chris

    I have had a significantly different experience with CFLs than the case described in the post. My wife and I installed CFLs when we bought our house 5.5 yrs ago. Out of roughly 40 installed, we’ve had to replace just a couple during that time. Having said that, we chose to purchase the CFLs in a free market – I am disturbed that I may no longer that choice.