The conventional wisdom is that the ABC hit piece (which I suspect was deliberately leaked to Drudge) featuring a much-hyped interview with Newt Gingrich’s angry ex-wife Marianne is an attempt to derail the man’s candidacy, or even put the coffin’s nail in it. I think it’s just the opposite. ABC is surely savvy enough to realize that conservative Republican primary voters deeply distrust the MSM, and do not like to see them meddling in elections. That this will backfire in Gingrich’s favor is a certainty. I think it already is, and Perry dropping out at this time is icing on the cake. So is Sarah Palin’s all-but-endorsement. If Santorum’s supporters could persuade him to drop out, I think Gingrich would probably win South Carolina.

A shame, because I am an ABN (Anyone But Newt) Republican. While I would — barely — vote for him over Obama, he makes me not want to be associated with the GOP in any way shape or form.

The worst thing about the ex-wife hit piece is that I don’t believe in judging candidates by such personal dirt in their lives. We all have it, and it is a major reason most people never become involved in politics. I repeatedly defended Rush Limbaugh over his drug use (even though I can’t stand his position on drugs), and were Newt discovered to be a junkie, I would not hold that against him or want him to go to prison, even though he wants to execute people for drug offenses. So if forced to take a position on the ex-wife smear, I would probably have to come down on the side of Gingrich. Which sucks, because I cannot stand the man.

Seeing him smeared, of course, does not translate into supporting his candidacy, because it is irrelevant.

As to the South Carolina Republicans, they might not consider it irrelevant, but they are already familiar with Gingrich’s past. Those who hold it against him are probably not his supporters. Those who already know will resent the timing of this media smear, and it will most likely incline many of them to support him out of sympathy.

Too bad they can’t realize that that may be the whole idea.

I’m not alone in predicting a pro-Newt backlash.

UPDATE: I said Romney and meant Perry (who endorsed Romney Gingrich.) Error(s) corrected.

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