Trumps of Doom

So, apparently people are noticing the GOP might actually be nominating a crude, shameless con man as their candidate for the Presidency of the United States, and they’re proposing some ways to stop it, such as denying Donald an outright majority by keeping candidates in the race who know they can’t win.

The post by Allahpundit (could you throw us one measly photoshop a year? come on man) didn’t garner a lot of attention, but if Cruz and Rubio deny Donald a majority, the answer to this question would matter a lot

And the big problem: Even if it worked, what would it achieve?

Well, then it may get very interesting.

The rules for delegate voting are somewhat arcane, but it certainly appears if Donald doesn’t win the first round of voting he won’t be the nominee.

As best I can tell, Donald doesn’t get to pick his delegates.  The delegates are typically chosen by the party, and tend to be party activists — they will be able to read the writing on the wall.  It’s looking like Trump will win despite the fact he would lose head to head with all the other candidates, and appears headed for sure obliteration in the general because he’s already radioactive outside the GOP.

In fact, I would not even be shocked if there were enough faithless delegates in the first round to deny Trump a win even if he come in with 55-60% of delegates, especially if he’s polling 20+ points behind Clinton or Sanders by the convention, which is quite possible.  And the endorsements gap is already huge, too big even for Chris Christie to fill (sorry).  And if he didn’t win more than 50% of the vote in a lot of the states where he took 100% of the electors, there might be arguments made about his legitimacy.

And, of course, his sanity.

Of course, it’s more likely the GOP will simply drive off the cliff with Donald.  It’s a foregone conclusion he will lose them the Senate, the White House, and the Supreme Court, but it will be fun finding out if he can lose the House of Representatives for them as well.

Burn it all down, Donald.   Let’s all graduate from Trump University this fall.

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16 responses to “Trumps of Doom”

  1. Al Avatar
    Al

    Such an epic pile of butthurt. I salute you!

  2. OregonGuy Avatar

    I am not a fan of ad hominem attacks, so it is with trepidation that I share what I see of The Donald.

    “This Way to the Egress.”

    You can fool all of the people some of the time…

    Well, at least I can hope.
    .

  3. TallDave Avatar

    Classes begin soon, Al.

  4. MSimon Avatar

    Can a Master Persuader Reverse Hate?

    http://blog.dilbert.com/post/138484797336/can-a-master-persuader-reverse-hate

    What people underestimate about the Donald is his ability to persuade.

    Consider his early polls at 10%. He is up to 46%. And still rising.

    Remember the Radio Announcer/TV Presenter/Movie Actor who became President? Similar training.

  5. CapitalistRoader Avatar
    CapitalistRoader

    Well, that Radio Announcer/TV Presenter/Movie Actor also had eight years experience governing the most populous state in the union, a state that if it were a country would have been ranked about eighth in the world in terms of GDP.

    Experience matters. The current idiot in the White House is proof. Even the previous idiot had five years governing a big state and I think history will judge him as a mediocre president, while the current idiot will be judged as bad or worse than Carter.

  6. Dave Avatar
    Dave

    MSimon: Adams is an absurdist by profession. Trump’s not going to start “acting Presidential” in our lifetimes.

    A con only works with marks who want to believe. He can apparently get 45% of the GOP to ignore the facts. Give him his due, he’s a talented and inveterate grifter, as his investors and creditors can assure you. Democrats and independents are another story, they’ve already decided by enormous proportions that he’s a crude, clueless, dangerous lunatic.

    Trump’s con will fall flat with the 75% of the electorate that actually need to be persuaded.

  7. Dave Avatar
    Dave

    BTW, Donald Trump’s business success is largely mythical — since inheriting $40M in 1974 he has certainly underperformed an average index fund and if some of the reports are correct, he may not have earned more than 1% a year after inflation.

    http://www.vox.com/2015/9/2/9248963/donald-trump-index-fund

  8. Joseph Hertzlinger Avatar

    If Trump’s the nominee, I plan to vote for Gary Johnson for President but Republican for most legislative offices.

  9. captain*arizona Avatar
    captain*arizona

    trump supporters want their good pay jobs returned from being sent out of the country and a wall so they won’t have compete with illegals for minimum wage jobs while they wait. remember the song waiting here in allen town though corporate radio doesn’t like to play it anymore. canada crud and punk rubio are bought by donors who are ayn randist free trade sociopaths and neo-con artists who like sending jobs out of the country and bring in illegals that is why they are no answer to trump they are shills.

  10. Simon Avatar

    Dave,

    Has Trump under performed economically? Yes. Someone has to. OTOH he did increase his fortune. Something not all people in business do.

  11. […] alluded to his talent in the comments to Trumps Of Doom, to much derision. So far in this election season a LOT of people have been underestimating […]

  12. Kathy Kinsley Avatar
    Kathy Kinsley

    @ Captain. Does that post mean you actually like Trump?

  13. Man Mountain Molehill Avatar
    Man Mountain Molehill

    How many buildings does an average index fund build? Looks to me like he tries anything and dumps the losers. Possibly not as profitable as currency manipulation or arbitrage, but it’s a lot more fun, and builds tangible results. I don’t see a Soros Skyscraper or a Buffet Basilica.

    And just imagine the giant gold T on the Trump White House.

  14. TallDave Avatar

    Simon — I’ll be the first one to tell you it’s much easier to destroy wealth than create it, but Donald claims to have been a great businessman… but then Donald makes so many other absurd claims, what difference does one more make?

    MMM — Creditors and investors lost billions of dollars trusting Donald. What will GOP voters lose?

  15. TallDave Avatar

    Oh, and yes, index funds include REITs. So they build a huge number of buildings.