The guy who wasn’t in last night’s debate (but might as well have been….)

I’m talking about Bill Clinton, of course.
He might as well have been in last night’s debate. Really and truly, it’s almost as if he was there.
Anyway, even if he wasn’t there, his strategic emotion certainly was:

…while large swaths of the American opinion elite suffer from Clinton fatigue, the Democratic primary electorate does not. Reading the New Hampshire primary exit poll, we find that 83 percent of New Hampshire Democratic primary voters had a favorable opinion of President Clinton, and that Senator Clinton beat Senator Obama among these voters by 10 points. By contrast, among the 16 percent of Democratic primary voters in New Hampshire who held an unfavorable view of President Clinton, Senator Obama won 50 percent to 13 percent. Another exit poll question asked voters whether they would vote for Bill Clinton if he were eligible and on the ballot. Most voters said no, they would vote for the candidate whom they supported anyway — and Obama won these voters handily. But 37 percent of respondents said yes, they would vote for Bill Clinton if he were on the ballot — and Senator Clinton won these voters by 34 points. It was understood among New Hampshire Democrats that, whatever Senator Clinton’s qualifications and talents, a vote for her is, in a way, another vote for her husband.
It’s been said that Mr. Clinton’s recent feistiness has revealed a side of him previously unknown to most Americans. But this is incorrect: he is rather a master of what one might call “strategic emotion,” the use of tears or anger to comfort voters or intimidate the press.

Matthew Continetti goes on to describe the mechanism of the controlled outbursts, and how they work strategically:

the former president’s “outbursts” serve a dual purpose: they lend the impression that Senator Clinton is the insurgent running against the media-supported Obama, while also creating the illusion that it is the former president, not his wife, who is actually the candidate for the Democratic nomination. Far from hurting Senator Clinton — who also understands how to deploy strategic emotion, as we saw before the New Hampshire Democratic primary — former President Clinton effectively has rallied a coalition of Democrats to her cause.

As to how the strategic emotion played out last night, the issues became muddled as Obama tried to debate Hillary, only to find that he was really debating Bill.
It shows in the transcript:

CLINTON: You did. You gave a great speech in 2002 opposing the war in Iraq. That was not what the point of our criticism was.

Not “her” criticism. “Our” criticism.
Then, a bit later:

The facts are that he has said in the last week that he really liked the ideas of the Republicans over the last 10 to 15 years, and we can give you the exact quote.
[…]
CLINTON: Now, I just — I just want to be clear about this. In an editorial board with the Reno newspaper, you said two different things, because I have read the transcript. You talked about Ronald Reagan being a transformative political leader. I did not mention his name.
OBAMA: Your husband did.
CLINTON: Well, I’m here. He’s not. And…
OBAMA: OK. Well, I can’t tell who I’m running against sometimes.
(APPLAUSE)
CLINTON: Well, you know, I think we both have very passionate and committed spouses who stand up for us. And I’m proud of that.
But you also talked about the Republicans having ideas over the last 10 to 15 years.

Under the circumstances, I think the use of the word “we” and “the last 10 to 15 years” constitute clear references to Bill, and the implied interchangeabilty of the two. Furthermore, Obama never said he liked the ideas of the Republicans over the past 10-15 years. This were read into Obama’s Reagan remark by the Clintons, who (apparently in their mutual megalomania) believe Obama’s simple observation about Ronald Reagan is an attack on “their” (and I use the term loosely) later admininstration.
I think this mutual megalomania (which I’ve called “comegalomania“) was the driving force behind much of Hillary’s attack in last night’s debate, placing Obama on trial for his arrogance in having dared to question the Clinton legacy:

Obama’s candidacy not only threatens to obliterate the dream of a Clinton Restoration. It also fundamentally calls into question the Bill Clinton legacy by making it seem … not really such a big deal.
That, I believe, is the unforgivable insult. The Clintons picked up on this slight well before Obama made it explicit with his observation that Ronald Reagan had “changed the trajectory of America in a way that Richard Nixon did not and in a way that Bill Clinton did not.”
Let’s take a moment to consider that remark. Whether or not it was advisable for Obama to play the role of presidential historian in the midst of a no-holds-barred contest for the Democratic nomination, it’s hard to argue with what he said. I think Bill Clinton was a good president, at times very good. And I wouldn’t have voted for Reagan if you’d held a gun to my head. But even I have to recognize that Reagan — like Margaret Thatcher in Britain and Mikhail Gorbachev in the Soviet Union — was a transformational figure, for better or worse.

Author Eugene Robinson argues that Obama’s real debate is with the Clinton legacy, and that this is seen as intolerable arrogance:

…implicit in [Obama’s] campaign is a promise, or a threat, to eclipse Clinton’s accomplishments. Obama doesn’t just want to piece together a 50-plus-1 coalition, he wants to forge a new post-partisan consensus that includes “Obama Republicans” — the equivalent of the Gipper’s “Reagan Democrats.” You can call that overly ambitious or even naive, but you can’t call it timid. Or deferential.
Both Clintons have trouble hiding their annoyance at Obama’s impertinence. Bill, especially, gives the impression that Obama has gotten under his skin. His frequent allegations of media bias in Obama’s favor recall the everybody-against-us feeling of the impeachment drama, when the meaning of the word “is” had to be carefully parsed and the Clinton White House was under siege.
Obama hit back in an interview that aired Monday on “Good Morning America,” saying the former president “has taken his advocacy on behalf of his wife to a level that I think is pretty troubling” and promising to “directly confront Bill Clinton when he’s not making statements that are factually accurate.”

Ah, but it’s not his wife that Bill is defending; it’s also his legacy.
Like it or not, Bill Clinton was an integral part of last night’s debate, and a major reason the sparks flew. Obama’s admission that it was hard to tell whether he was debating Bill or Hillary was very telling.
That there was clearly a joint attempt to put words in Obama’s mouth only heightens the confusion.
I see no easy way to resolve the problem. Clearly, Bill Clinton has become part of the debate. Perhaps it would be more fair to let him participate directly. It would certainly be more honest. If Obama is in fact calling the Clinton legacy into question, then the two of them should debate. I realize I said that Bill Clinton might as well have been there last night, but it’s unfair to pronounce him the might-as-well winner under might-as-well circumstances.
So, enough with the “might-as-wells” already!
Rather than continue the fiction, I’d like to see a real Obama-Clinton debate.
How would it be done? Should Obama challenge him directly? (Surely, Bill would not refuse a chance to defend his legacy…)
Any ideas?


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2 responses to “The guy who wasn’t in last night’s debate (but might as well have been….)”

  1. Fritz Avatar
    Fritz

    She could be using the imperial “We” or “Our” when she says, “You did. You gave a great speech in 2002 opposing the war in Iraq.” That was not what the point of our criticism was,” but I don’t think so. Even if she is, it does not speak well for her as she is not a queen nor is the U.S. a monarchy. What she is trying to do is ride Pres. Clinton’s popularity while refuting some of his policies and statements. In the end Obama is right and Pres. Bill Clinton’s legacy will be little remembered or talked about except for his impeachment for perjury.

  2. CJ Avatar
    CJ

    Eric, you did a great job on the debate report for PJM. Enjoyed reading it .. just clicked in from there. Here’s something you might not be aware of. When Edwards (who really does deserve to be called the Breck Girl) did his sorrowful schtick about how squabbling between Hillary and Obama wasn’t going to help the poor, he was channeling Bill Clinton! That’s exactly what Clinton did in the 1996 debate with Bob Dole when Dole quite accurately noted the longtime Clinton practice of sleazy fundraising. I think Bill’s exact line was “No attack ever fed a hungry child”. Indeed, many of the Breck Girl’s riffs are like Bill Clinton outtakes. Politics isn’t getting any less weird.