|
|
|
January 08, 2008
New Hampshire
Hillary is ahead 38% to 36%. McCain leads Romney 37% to 28%. Fox projects that McCain is the winner. MORE: Good for McCain, I'd say; he's the only Republican who can beat either Hillary or Obama. MORE: Regarding Edwards, while he has no chance of winning, he's poised to be the kingmaker. (I imagine he knows it, too.) MORE: Glenn was helpful enough to link ABC real time results (which beats Drudge's flashing police light). Here's where they stand now: Clinton 16,739 40% 0It's trending for Hillary. (as of 8:24 p.m.) MORE: At 8:31 p.m. Clinton 17,385 40% 0 Obama 15,565 36% 0 MORE: At 8:48, with 21% of the vote in, there's no change: Clinton 22,468 40% 0I'm inclined to call it for Hillary at this point. (I'm probably biased because I've been predicting her inevitability for years....) MORE: Two minutes later, and Obama's now down a point: Not much of a cliffhanger, but I'll hand anyway FWIW.... AND MORE: (Er, I should say, "AND LESS" because Obama is sinking further....)
MORE: Romney just delivered what seemed like a victory speech. (I also heard he hired Bush people to do South Carolina the right way.) MORE: This looks more cliffhangerish, but I'm not inclined to retract my call (if only because I'd love to be wrong):
MORE: Via Glenn Reynolds, here's Ann Althouse: Can it be that Hillary and her crying turned things around? Did people see how much Bill Clinton wanted to keep going and feel sympathy? Or is it a case of: New Hampshire voters not wanting to be told what to do? But when I read of the huge turnout, I assumed a big Obama victory. I guess her collapse was quite odd, and the news that it wasn't real makes sense.I was just saying earlier that crying worked. MORE: I have to say, I am really sorry to see Fred Thompson getting only 1%. Why? Because I think he'd be a great president, and I wanted him to win, that's why. New Hampshire disagrees, but life is never fair. MORE: McCain is speaking now. He radiates something too rare in politics. Whether you like his politics or not, he's an optimist, a brave man, and an American original. MORE: It's sad to think what's inevitably in store for McCain in South Carolina. Romney will probably repeat Bush's tactics. I hope McCain puts up a good scrap. AND MORE: With 42% in, the Hillary Obama race is tightening slightly: I doubt he'll make up the difference though. MORE (09:49 p.m.): It's now 39-37 Hillary, the closest yet. And earlier, John Podhoretz opined that ...Barack Obama is likely to bury Hillary Clinton in an avalanche when the tallies are completed tonight..."(Via Glenn Reynolds.) Maybe it will be closer than I thought, but I think the Clintons know what they're doing. The crying (and the threat of withdrawal) was a very slick move. MORE: Glenn Reynolds predicts accurately, whatever happens it'll be close enough to keep them both going.I'm plenty exhausted, although it was exciting for awhile to imagine I might be proven to have been wrong for years about Hillary. Anyway, just after ten, it looks like this:
MORE: Ann Althouse asks a good question: Did people just get disgusted with the hype?Possibly. I suppose they might also have felt condescended to. Hillary's crying may have introduced the appearance of reality. MORE: Stephen Green weighs in, God bless him: Hillary is ahead of Obama? By four points? I’m telling you, you’ve got to run a stake through the heart, separate the head from the body, burn the remains and scatter the ashes in heavy winds if you want to put a Clinton down for good.And just as I read that, I heard (on CNN) that AP has called it for Hillary. MORE: Now that it's officially "over," I'm delighted to see that Glenn Reynolds has linked my post -- actually calling it live-blogging. My thanks, and a warm welcome to all. Please feel free to chime in. Technically, I don't know whether this can be called live blogging, and I'm not yet drunk enough for it to be called drunk blogging. Hmmm.... MORE: FWIW, the AP called it right. With 70% of the vote in, Hillary's lead is insurmountable:
MORE (10:46 p.m:): On Fox News, Terry McAulliffe just said this Chris Wallace: "They saw her at a human moment."It certainly appeared that way. MORE: And Obama is now making his New Hampshire concession speech. MORE: Far from looking beaten, Obama appears to be enjoying his moment immensely. Crowd is very worked up, chanting "WE WANT CHANGE!" Very eloquent and rousing speech. Even a cross-party appeal. Inspiring, well delivered lines like, "No problem we cannot solve. No destiny we cannot fulfill." Little wonder that (as Glenn linked earlier) Hollywood is getting behind this guy. I think Obama is learning on the job, and fast. He's a first class rhetorician, and I say this as someone who majored in rhetoric. This is not an endorsement of his politics, but I appreciate quality when I see it. In a word, formidable. MORE (11:00 p.m.): I'm listening to Obama's "Yes we can" speech. It's a classic. All politics aside, it's quality entertainment, and I don't think Hillary's voice can match it either in tone or in rhetorical quality. Sometimes it takes tears to win. MORE (11:06 p.m.): And now it's her turn. Wild cheering. An emotional moment. "Very full heart." "I want especially to thank New Hampshire... I listened to you, and in the process, I found my own voice." MORE: "Let's give America the kind of comeback that New Hampshire has just given me." It can't be an accident that she's surrounded herself with young people, can it? "We're going to rally on and make our case. We are in it for the long run!" "We are in it for the American people." "Know what's really at stake." "Of the people by the people and for the people, not just the privileged few." "End the war in Iraq the right way." "If you join in this call for greatness, we will, together, answer. So tomorrow, we will roll up our sleeves and keep going." "I invite you to join us at HillaryClinton.com." "We came back tonight because we spoke loudly and clearly." Thank Bill and Chelsea, her entire family, her mother, "the extraordinary team in New Hampshire, that never faltered," "I want to thank the young people across New Hampshire who came out. They voted their hearts and minds, and I appreciate it." (Says she appreciates Democratic candidates, including Obama.) I guess that means the rumors that she's going away have turned out to be unfounded. On Fox News, Frank Luntz looks happy that she won. I think many Republicans prefer her to Obama. But will they feel the same way when she's president? MORE: Dick Morris is now predicting that Hillary will win. Says the Clinton attack machine will now go full throttle against Obama. Hillary's strength is found in single women, who voted (and will vote) overwhelmingly in her favor. Does not think Romney has what it takes to beat her. (I agree.) AND MORE: Clinton strategist (and Hillary's former law school classmate) Lanny Davis, on Hannity and Colmes, describes the change in voter perception as having shifted along the following lines, "I was for Obama. Now it's time to be serious."I'm not surprised by Hillary's strength. The outburst of Obamamania not only failed to kill her, it may have made her stronger! MORE: Glenn's links ought to serve as a reminder that she was already strong. With that, I'm ending the live blogging lest it become drunk blogging. posted by Eric on 01.08.08 at 08:09 PM
Comments
Considering that we all spent the '90s watching, mouths agape, as the Clintons managed to rise like venal phoenixes from the ashes of every scandal that was supposed to be the end of them, it amazes me that some people thought an Iowa loss or a catch in Hillary's throat spelled her certain doom. Of course, a good 2/5 of the votes in New Hampshire have yet to be counted, so Obama could pull ahead by a lot still, but there can't be much susprise in the fact that she's leading at the moment. Sean Kinsell · January 8, 2008 10:47 PM Roy, That seems like a good match up. A 'Nam vet who wants to win the war and a Conservative. M. Simon · January 8, 2008 10:47 PM I'm watching: http://abcnews.go.com/politics/elections/state?state=NH And Hill has been holding her 3,000 vote lead. Obama has lost his big MO. M. Simon · January 8, 2008 10:51 PM 78% in Clinton by 6,000. M. Simon · January 8, 2008 11:06 PM Here is my theory. Iowa absolved whites of racist guilt. Now they can vote for whom ever they want. M. Simon · January 8, 2008 11:08 PM Whose voice was it before? Bill's? M. Simon · January 8, 2008 11:15 PM I found Obama's speech disgusting. It was a demagogue at work. He said nothing, but had the crowd doing the leftist version of a "Sieg Heil." (I'm not comparing him or his supporters to Nazis, but I couldn't think of another analogy for the party rally I just witnessed) Scary. He has no chance in the general election against any of the GOP candidates. His middle name is Hussein and he studied at an Indonesian Madrassa. That's a little more change than America is willing to swallow, thank God. Anonymous · January 9, 2008 12:56 AM McCain won't ever get my vote. He has consistently violated his oaths to defend the Constitution with respect to the First Amendment. SDN · January 9, 2008 06:12 AM Post a comment
You may use basic HTML for formatting.
|
|
January 2008
WORLD-WIDE CALENDAR
Search the Site
E-mail
Classics To Go
Archives
January 2008
December 2007 November 2007 October 2007 September 2007 August 2007 July 2007 June 2007 May 2007 April 2007 March 2007 February 2007 January 2007 December 2006 November 2006 October 2006 September 2006 August 2006 July 2006 June 2006 May 2006 April 2006 March 2006 February 2006 January 2006 December 2005 November 2005 October 2005 September 2005 August 2005 July 2005 June 2005 May 2005 April 2005 March 2005 February 2005 January 2005 December 2004 November 2004 October 2004 September 2004 August 2004 July 2004 June 2004 May 2004 April 2004 March 2004 February 2004 January 2004 December 2003 November 2003 October 2003 September 2003 August 2003 July 2003 June 2003 May 2003 May 2002 AB 1634 MBAPBSALLAMERICANGOP See more archives here Old (Blogspot) archives
Recent Entries
• WB-7 First Plasma
• Morals And Values • For the girl who has everything.... • Balls • McCain -- the last hope of a hopeless party? • Hardly live blogging • no more spark? • New Hampshire • Obamarama • A "big fairy tale!" And don't you believe it, you bad bad children!
Links
Site Credits
|
|
Wow, a blogger that's not hostile towards McCain?
---
McCain/Thompson '08!