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January 12, 2004
Intuition running amok
Now that the race is on, it's looking more and more to me as if the Democratic presidential candidate will be not Howard Dean, but Wesley Clark. Clark is coming up fast from behind, and if he does well in the Iowa caucuses (without having mounted a campaign there), this will be a sign that the voters are ready for him. What the polls say at this point is largely irrelevant. Wesley Clark can run on his ethos as a general, and continue making strong statements about how 9-11 never would have happened had he been president, and how he'll make sure something like that never happens again. What remains to be seen is who Clark's vice presidential candidate will be. The Clintons are backing him all the way, because of course, they fear Dean getting control of the party machinery and firing Terry McAuliffe. But what about General Clark as the anti-Hillary? If he manages to pull off a win, she's history unless she stages an insurgency movement in 2008. That's why I find myself wondering whether Clark is preordained to lose. A sort of sparring partner who'll beat up on George W. Bush -- not enough to win, but just enough to keep the Democrats alive, intact, and ready for Hillary's Big Moment. A guy like Clark might not be so easy to control -- unless the Clintons have him by the balls.
UPDATE: I don't mean to be cynical, because I am really more of a Stoic than a Cynic. Although the word "cynic" (Latin cynicus, Greek kunikos) means dog-like! The Greeks believed in teaching certain dog-like qualities -- hence the "uncouth and aggressive manners adopted by the members of the [Cynic] school." Cool! Er, I guess I mean woof! I always liked South Park Republicans! And packs. posted by Eric on 01.12.04 at 11:34 AM
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» MONDAY'S COMPENDIUM - Around the Blogosphere from The SmarterCop
A rousing welcome (and period of heavy-duty hazing) for the newest member of the Watchers' Council, Patterico's Pontifications. We're looking forward to some heavy competition in the weeks ahead. Here's something that I've been looking forward to for ... [Read More] Tracked on January 12, 2004 02:06 PM
Comments
I have a close friend I've known for years. Whenever we start discussing people's motives, it's obvious that I tend to assume virtuous motives with no real evidence to the contrary. He, however, tends to assume vice-ous motives unless he -- for some unstated reason -- simple 'likes' the person. So, maybe that explains why I am always skeptical, astrounded and/or amused whenever someone assumes that the Clintons will do everything in their power to elect Hillary in 2008 -- even if it means ceeding all three branches to the far right for the next 2-4 years. Do you think that's the case? Stated as a percentage of absolute certainty, how convinced are you? Just curious. Erasmus · January 18, 2004 05:13 PM |
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