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September 02, 2006
The all time wettest, most record-setting drought ever!
Yes, that was what I predicted in June. But really, this time the drought has gone too far. Until a few minutes ago, my power was out because of the horrible drought-related rains we've been having lately, and now that it's come back on (God knows how long that will last), my duty seems clear: I must write some sort of post about what I guess can honestly be called weather. (The importance of being Ernesto, perhaps?) I guess it's now September. I'm trying to be in denial about that because I don't like the end of Summer. If a drought can be wet, can't I go on calling this August, and, like, pretend that today is really August 34 instead of September 2? That way, the August drought will be even wetter than it was! I like it when the weather breaks records, and of course it's probably all related to the Bush-related Global Cooling-Warming deal. Warming is cooling, which only proves that Cooling is Warming. (Beware!) During the earlier part of August, the wet drought we'd been having seemed to be drying up. Until last week, when the local shapers of weather opinion admitted that there'd been a "stunning turnaround": The recent downpours have been a stunning turnaround in the region's hydrological fortunes. Last week, it appeared that this was going to be one of the driest Augusts in Philadelphia's history. Through Friday, the official monthly rain total at Philadelphia International Airport was 0.12 inch. The week before that (August 23) an August record was predicted in a headline proclaiming it the "driest in region in over a century": It's been 110 years in the making, but there is a "decent shot" that the month of August could go down as the driest on record - or at least one of the driest - for the Philadelphia region.Every brown lawn? Mine was green, and there was never even a hint of brown. The problem is, the chart supplied by writer Jeff Price didn't quite back up his claim. Here it is:
Here's what I said at the time: I can't even walk in the yard without rubber boots, and Coco is having trouble going outside to do her business. Right now, we're having a few precious rays of sun, but it won't last. The whole area is soaked, and it couldn't possibly be any wetter.Looking back over the entire summer, and totalling up the overall numbers, it has become clear to me that this summer has been one of above average rainfall. So what made the drought meme so damned persistent all this long wet summer? I am so sick of this drought that I'm ready to bail. MORE: I see I am not alone in having lost power. To imitate the Manolo, the Ernesto, he takes the Power which leaves the electricity Drought. (Except right now, the Manolo, he's more worried about the wearing of the white shoes on the Day After the Day of Labor. He better not ask the Patty Hearst, as the white shoes after the Day of Labor they put her in the Patty Hearse!) CORRECTION: It has been brought to my attention by a sharp reader that today is actually August 33, and not August 34. Yeah, I guess I did say that. Well sorrrry! I can't even get it right when I get it wrong! MORE: Jon Thompson points out that "the 2.71 "to date" in the graph is only the measure of what is average from August 1st until that date, and not through the whole month." I'm sure he's right, as it appears to say that in the chart. My mistake! AND MORE: While I am unable to locate the tables used by the Inquirer, looking at this table -- "Normal Monthly Precipitation, Inches" which lists monthly rainfall averages from 1961 through 1990 for each state, I get a Pennsylvania August average of 3.589 inches. That's close enough to the number the Inquirer used for the August total to satisfy me. posted by Eric on 09.02.06 at 09:47 AM
Comments
Gosh, I feel bad about this. But, I suspect that the 2.71 "to date" in the graph is only the measure of what is average from August 1st until that date, and not through the whole month. As in, if it rains one inch a day, the average in a month is thirty inches, but the average to date value will only be fifteen inches by the fifteenth of the month. Jon Thompson · September 2, 2006 05:03 PM You're probably right. I should go check the stats. Eric Scheie · September 2, 2006 05:49 PM Linked at Socrates' Academy (Lord, that is such a stupid name for a blog) and at Redstate. Socrates · September 2, 2006 11:35 PM (Doh. That was supposed to be a comment to the previous story.) Socrates · September 3, 2006 09:19 AM Today (what they call "Septermber 5, 2006") is actually December 23654, 1941. Or 23648 days after Pearl Harbor Day. (Alternatively, it's April 10749, 1977, though that date has no particular relevance to anything.) Sigivald · September 5, 2006 07:06 PM |
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"(The importance of being Ernesto, perhaps?)"
Ack.